Today’s fast-paced drug development environment is characterized by the generation of voluminous amounts of data at a breathtaking rate. Drug developers are under increasing pressure to collect and analyze data in order to facilitate timely decision-making. Indeed, the ability to efficiently extract pertinent knowledge from new data is the cornerstone of successful and cost-effective drug development.
Drug developers are therefore making increasing use of extractive tools such as pharmacometrics, “an emerging science that quantifies drug, disease and trial information to aid efficient drug development and/or regulatory decisions,” as defined by the FDA. Pharmacometrics makes extensive use of drug models “to describe the relationship between exposure (or pharmacokinetics [PK]), response (or pharmacodynamics [PD]) for both desired and undesired effects, and individual patient characteristics…These Pharmacometric analyses are designed, conducted and presented in the context of drug development, therapeutic and regulatory decisions. The single-most important strength of such analyses is [their] ability to integrate knowledge across the development program and compounds, and biology.”1
Pharmacometrics takes large amounts of data from various phases of clinical development and tests hypotheses through computer-based simulations. This process frequently involves estimation of PK and PD and development of clinical outcome models, as well as evaluation of different study designs, in order to understand the impact of variables such as dosing strategies, patient selection criteria, and selection of clinical endpoints.
Both the FDA and EMA have issued extensive regulatory guidance documents focusing on pharmacometrics or in which pharmacometrics methodologies are advocated. Increasingly, the FDA requests the inclusion of pharmacometric analyses in submission packages and often performs such analyses when evaluating a sponsor’s submission.
The pressure to reduce development costs borne by pharmaceutical companies, the FDA’s increasing interest in predictive as opposed to descriptive analytical methods, and the availability of analytic tools are making pharmacometrics more feasible and attractive to CROs as service offerings. Nevertheless, pharmacometrics remains a specialized offering and PharmaNet is one of five CROs who are able to provide these services.
Pharmacometrics has become a key specialty area at PharmaNet Canada, where we provide modeling services to inform clients’ critical decision-making processes. Our pharmacometrics service offerings cover all stages of drug development, starting in the non-clinical setting, in which toxicology, PK, and PD data from various species can be used to model human exposure, adverse events, and clinical responses, factoring in various doses and regimens to help design informative first-in-human studies.
In Phase I, pharmacometrics is used to extract essential knowledge regarding PK (e.g., dose- and time-dependence, effect of demographic variables, effect of food, drug-drug interactions) and PD (e.g., adverse event profiles, biomarkers, QT prolongation, early clinical efficacy findings). This knowledge is leveraged to optimize Phase II study designs through simulations.
Results of Phase IIa studies are used to refine models for adverse events profiles, biomarkers, and clinical outcomes to inform the design of Phase IIb studies. At this stage, sparse PK sampling data can be merged with PK data from previous studies to enable extrapolation of sound PK parameters and to provide robust exposure-response models. These models can then drive Phase IIb study design through biomarker and clinical outcome simulations.
A pharmacometrics-driven approach throughout the development process should yield sufficient information to perform clinical trial modeling that takes into account PK/PD, efficacy, disease, and patient characteristics. Ultimately, the approach should allow performing full-fledged Phase III trials in silico through clinical-trial simulations, allowing the testing of various efficacy study scenarios, which can mitigate the chances of primary outcome failure.
The above processes are often the apanage of big pharmaceutical companies and regulatory agencies. Pharmacometrics services at Anapharm and other CROs can help sponsors answer more specific questions. Our work normally relates to population analysis methods, where the interest is in identifying correlates of exposure and response to elaborate dosing recommendations, as well as obtaining exposure-response information in special populations. Population methods are now commonly included in submission packages and will continue to gain importance, thanks to regulators’ growing interest in these methods. Other modeling service offerings at Anapharm include allometric scaling, in vitro–in vivo correlations, and time-to-event analysis. As sponsors and regulators continue to pay increasing attention to such analyses, the importance of pharmacometrics will loom ever larger in drug development.
___________________________
[1] Pharmacometrics at FDA. Rockville, MD: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Food and Drug Administration, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research (CDER). http://www.fda.gov/AboutFDA/CentersOffices/CDER/ucm167032.htm. Updated September 22, 2010. Accessed October 5, 2010.